Meaning: This quote by Elias Canetti, a Nobel Prize-winning author, delves into the insidious nature of war and the calculated tactics employed by rulers to justify and initiate conflict. Canetti suggests that those in power who seek to engage in warfare understand the necessity of creating a pretext or rationale for their aggressive actions. The deliberate procurement or fabrication of a "first victim" serves as a catalyst for war, providing the justification for the initiation of hostilities.

In analyzing this quote, it is essential to consider the historical and contemporary relevance of Canetti's insight. Throughout history, many conflicts have been sparked by the deliberate manipulation of public sentiment through the presentation of a perceived threat or victim. The concept of a "first victim" aligns with the idea of manufacturing a casus belli, or justification for war, which has been a recurring strategy employed by leaders and governments.

One of the most notable examples of this phenomenon can be found in the lead-up to the invasion of Iraq in 2003. The United States and its allies cited the threat of weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) in Iraq as a primary justification for the war. However, the subsequent failure to find any substantial evidence of WMDs raised questions about the veracity of the initial claims and underscored the notion that a "first victim" was necessary to legitimize the conflict.

Furthermore, the quote also speaks to the manipulative tactics utilized by authoritarian regimes to instigate aggression. By portraying an individual, group, or nation as a victim of aggression or oppression, rulers can galvanize public support and rally their populace behind the call for war. This manufactured victimhood serves as a powerful tool for inciting nationalistic fervor and justifying military action.

In a broader sense, Canetti's quote sheds light on the psychological and sociopolitical dynamics at play when it comes to the justification of war. It highlights the role of propaganda, fear-mongering, and the construction of narratives that demonize the supposed aggressor and lionize the victim. This manipulation of public perception is pivotal in garnering support for war and obscuring the true motives behind military interventions.

Moreover, the quote underscores the cynical calculus employed by those in positions of power, who are willing to sacrifice the lives and well-being of individuals in pursuit of their geopolitical ambitions. The notion of a "first victim" serves as a stark reminder of the human cost of war and the callousness with which rulers can exploit tragedies to further their agendas.

In conclusion, Elias Canetti's quote encapsulates the Machiavellian nature of warfare, where the deliberate procurement or invention of a "first victim" is recognized as a strategic imperative for those seeking to unleash conflict. It invites contemplation on the ethical implications of such manipulative tactics and the imperative of scrutinizing the narratives that precede and accompany assertions of military necessity. By understanding the dynamics elucidated in Canetti's quote, we can cultivate a more discerning approach to the rhetoric and propaganda surrounding the justification of war.