Meaning: This quote by Frank A. Clark, an American writer and humorist, captures a profound and often overlooked truth about authority and expertise. It suggests that being a leading authority does not necessarily require a perfect track record or infallible predictions. Instead, it emphasizes the importance of consistent insight and the ability to make accurate guesses or predictions more than once.

In the context of expertise and authority, the quote challenges the traditional notion that authority is solely derived from a flawless record of being right. Instead, it suggests that a leading authority is someone who has demonstrated a consistent ability to make accurate predictions or guesses, even if they have also been wrong at times. This nuanced perspective on authority encourages a more inclusive and dynamic understanding of expertise.

The quote also underscores the element of uncertainty and risk inherent in making predictions or guesses. It acknowledges that even the most knowledgeable and experienced individuals cannot always be right, but it is their track record of being right more than once that establishes them as leading authorities. This aligns with the idea that true expertise involves a willingness to take calculated risks and learn from mistakes.

Furthermore, the quote can be interpreted as a reminder of the fallibility of human knowledge and the ever-changing nature of expertise. It suggests that being a leading authority is not a static achievement but an ongoing process of refining one's understanding and adapting to new information. This dynamic view of authority encourages humility and openness to new perspectives, as individuals strive to continue guessing right in the face of evolving challenges and complexities.

From a practical standpoint, the quote has implications for how we assess and recognize expertise in various fields. It prompts us to look beyond a person's occasional missteps and instead focus on their overall track record of insightful guesses or predictions. This mindset can foster a more inclusive and diverse community of recognized authorities, as it values consistent accuracy and adaptability over an unattainable standard of perfection.

In conclusion, Frank A. Clark's quote offers a thought-provoking perspective on the nature of expertise and authority. It challenges the conventional idea that authority is synonymous with infallibility and instead underscores the importance of consistent insight and the ability to make accurate guesses or predictions more than once. By embracing the dynamic and uncertain nature of expertise, the quote invites us to reconsider how we recognize and appreciate leading authorities in various fields. Ultimately, it encourages a more inclusive, adaptable, and humble approach to expertise and knowledge.