Meaning: The quote "If I would need to make a prediction I still believe Kaplan's scenario is very plausible" by David Korten, an activist and author, touches on the idea of making predictions and the plausibility of a particular scenario. This quote reflects Korten's perspective on the likelihood of a certain scenario, specifically one proposed by Kaplan, being realized in the future. Let's delve deeper into the context of this quote and explore the implications of Korten's viewpoint.

David Korten is known for his work in critiquing global corporate capitalism and advocating for alternative economic and social systems that prioritize environmental sustainability, social justice, and human well-being. He is the author of several influential books, including "When Corporations Rule the World" and "The Great Turning: From Empire to Earth Community." Throughout his career, Korten has been a vocal proponent of systemic change and has offered insightful perspectives on the global economic and political landscape.

In the quote, Korten expresses his belief in the plausibility of Kaplan's scenario. While the specific details of Kaplan's scenario are not provided, it can be inferred that Korten finds it to be a realistic or feasible projection of future events or developments. This suggests that Korten has considered the factors at play and believes that the elements of Kaplan's scenario are likely to unfold based on his understanding of the current conditions and trends.

Kaplan's scenario could refer to the work of Robert D. Kaplan, a renowned geopolitical analyst and author known for his insights into international relations and global security issues. Kaplan's scenarios often involve geopolitical shifts, the impact of emerging powers, and the evolving dynamics of global politics. Given Korten's interest in systemic change and his critique of dominant power structures, it is plausible that Kaplan's scenario aligns with Korten's concerns and areas of focus.

Korten's statement also raises the broader question of the value and limitations of making predictions. As an activist and thinker engaged in shaping a more equitable and sustainable world, Korten likely considers the implications of various scenarios for the future of humanity and the planet. By expressing his belief in the plausibility of Kaplan's scenario, Korten reveals his awareness of the forces and dynamics that could shape the future trajectory of global affairs.

The quote may also reflect Korten's willingness to engage with diverse perspectives and insights, even if they may not align entirely with his own views. In the realm of strategic foresight and scenario planning, considering multiple possible futures is essential for developing robust strategies and responses to potential challenges and opportunities. Korten's openness to the plausibility of Kaplan's scenario underscores the importance of critical thinking and intellectual humility in navigating complex global issues.

In conclusion, David Korten's quote "If I would need to make a prediction I still believe Kaplan's scenario is very plausible" offers a glimpse into his perspective on the likelihood of a particular scenario, as well as his approach to engaging with diverse viewpoints and potential future developments. It reflects Korten's commitment to understanding and shaping the forces that influence the trajectory of global affairs, rooted in his advocacy for a more just, sustainable, and equitable world.